> Nadeau: 08.10

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Vacant federal judgeships

Almost one in eight federal judgeships is vacant in the country and legal scholars warn that the increasingly politicized confirmation process threatens the administration of justice across the nation.
[...]
Of the 102 federal judgeships open, there are nominees pending for 39 seats.

LA Times

Friday, August 13, 2010

Mourners recall famous prosecutor

Memorial services for G. Dave Teja were heavily attended Wednesday with the assemblage of family and friends, prosecutors, defense attorneys and cops representing his seven decades of life and service in Sutter County.

@NotableTrials


SEP candidate on collapse of corporate capitalism

Nick Beams outlines the socialist response to growing social inequality, militarism and war and environmental destruction and opposes the reactionary nationalist campaign for “border protection” and “sustainable population” launched by the major parties, including the Greens.

@WorldSocialist


They know who you are

Kevin Drum reports: Last week the WSJ ran a terrific series of stories called “What They Know.” The general subject was personal privacy—or the lack of it—in the digital world, and the first article in the series explained how websites routinely track your movements on the web and collect a genuinely astonishing amount of personal information about you in the process. The Journal examined 50 sites using a test computer and discovered that these sites collectively installed a total of 3,180 tracking files—an average of 63 tracking files per site. The state of the art is growing increasingly intrusive, the Journal found.

@MotherJones

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

World food crisis? You bet!

Consider the following:

The mackerel war
The European Union could impose trade sanctions against Iceland or stop its ships from entering EU ports in an emerging "mackerel war".

In an echo of the 1970s "Cod War" when British gunboats were sent to ward off Icelandic trawlers in disputed waters, the EU has warned it will take "all necessary measures" to protect its fishing and economic interests.

The rising tension follows Iceland's unilateral decision to catch three times as much mackerel this year as the EU considers reasonable, prompting a similar move by the Danish-owned Faroe Islands. Together with the amounts traditionally taken by the EU and Norway, the quotas would exceed the sustainable catch by a third and threaten a success story in European fishing, which has been dogged by political dithering and national self-interest.

Iceland – which traditionally has a reputation for good stewardship of fish – insists it has the right to catch any fish it wants within its 200-mile territorial limit, established during the Cod War.
Global warming has already cut Asian rice by 10-20%
Even modest rises in global temperatures will drive down rice production in Asia, the world's biggest grower of the cereal grain that millions of poor people depend on as a staple food, a study published Monday warned.

Researchers from the United States, the Philippines and the Rome-based Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) looked at the impact of rising daily minimum and maximum temperatures on irrigated rice production between 1994-1999 in 227 fields in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam.

They found that the main culprit in cutting rice yields was higher daily minimum temperatures.

"As the daily minimum temperature increases, or as nights get hotter, rice yields drop," said Jarrod Welch of the University of California, San Diego, and lead author of the study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States.

"Up to a point, higher daytime temperatures can increase rice yield but future yield losses caused by higher night-time temperatures will likely outweigh any such gains because temperatures are rising faster at night," Welch said.

Rising temperatures in the past 25 years have already cut rice yields at several key growing locations by 10-20 percent.
Russian wheat crop declines, embargo imposed
Extreme drought and heat in the wheat producing regions of Russia have prompted officials in that country to embargo wheat exports from Aug. 15 to Dec. 1, 2010. Weather concerns in Russia and other wheat growing areas have prompted the rise of U.S. wheat futures prices, which have rallied more than $2.50 since the end of June.

At least 20% of Russia’s 2010 wheat crop has been destroyed by drought, and wildfires also threaten key wheat-producing areas in that country. In 2009, Russia was the third largest exporter of wheat in the world, exporting 18.3 million tons - 632 million bushels - largely to countries in the Middle East. That export total is surpassed only by the U.S. and European Union.

“U.S. farmers harvested an above average crop in 2010, and we have ample supplies of good milling quality wheat,” says Justin Gilpin, chief executive officer of the Kansas Wheat Commission. “Shortfalls in Europe and Russia, however, mean that global consumption of wheat will likely outpace production for the first time in three years.”

[Due] in part to the weather calamity in Russia, the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization has cut its global wheat production forecast for 2010 to 651 million metric tons, from previous estimates of 676 million metric tons. However, the FAO claims existing world stocks will cover the decline.

Meanwhile, Russia’s traditional export customers, which include Egypt, Tunisia and Iraq, will have to look elsewhere for wheat. The United States is a likely source, given large supplies of high quality Hard Red Winter wheat.
What does all this mean? Was it predicted?

Yes, it was.

Here is a story from 2009 explaining why 2010 was going to be (and has been) a food disaster.
2010 food crisis also means financial crisis

Over the last two years, the world has faced a series of unprecedented financial crises: the collapse of the housing market, the freezing of the credit markets, the failure of Wall Street brokerage firms (Bear Stearns/Lehman Brothers), the failure of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the failure of AIG, Iceland’s economic collapse, the bankruptcy of the major auto manufacturers (General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler), etc… In the face of all these challenges, the demise of the dollar, derivative markets, and the modern international system of credit has been repeatedly forecasted and feared. However, all these doomsday scenarios have so far been proved false, and, despite tremendous chaos and losses, the global financial system has held together.

The 2010 Food Crisis is different. It is the crisis. The one that makes all doomsday scenarios come true. The government bailouts and central bank interventions, which have held the financial world together during the last two years, will be powerless to prevent the 2010 Food Crisis from bringing the global financial system to its knees.

Financial crisis will kick into high gear

So far the crisis has been driven by the slow and steady increase in defaults on mortgages and other loans. This is about to change. What will drive the financial crisis in 2010 will be panic about food supplies and the dollar’s plunging value. Things will start moving fast.

Dynamics behind the 2010 food crisis

Early in 2009, the supply and demand in agricultural markets went badly out of balance. The world experienced a catastrophic fall in food production as a result of the financial crisis (low commodity prices and lack of credit) and adverse weather on a global scale. Meanwhile, China and other Asian exporters, in an effort to preserve their economic growth, were unleashing domestic consumption long constrained by inflation fears, and demand for raw materials, especially food staples, exploded as Chinese consumers worked their way towards American-style overconsumption, prodded on by a flood of cheap credit and easy loans from the government.

Normally food prices should have already shot higher months ago, leading to lower food consumption and bringing the global food supply/demand situation back into balance. This never happened because the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), instead of adjusting production estimates down to reflect decreased production, adjusted estimates upwards to match increasing demand from china. In this way, the USDA has brought supply and demand back into balance (on paper) and temporarily delayed a rise in food prices by ensuring a catastrophe in 2010.

Overconsumption is leading to disaster

It is absolutely key to understand that the production of agricultural goods is a fixed, once a year cycle (or twice a year in the case of double crops). The wheat, corn, soybeans and other food staples are harvested in the fall/spring and then that is it for production. It doesn’t matter how high prices go or how desperate people get, no new supply can be brought online until the next harvest at the earliest. The supply must last until the next harvest, which is why it is critical that food is correctly priced to avoid overconsumption, otherwise food shortages occur.

The USDA—by manufacturing the data needed to keep supply and demand in balance—has ensured that agricultural commodities are incorrectly priced, which has lead to overconsumption and has guaranteed disaster next year when supplies run out.

An astounding lack of awareness

The world is blissful unaware that the greatest economic/financial/political crisis ever is a few months away. While it is understandable that general public has no knowledge of what is headed their way, that same ignorance on the part of professional analysts, economists, and other highly paid financial "experts” is mind boggling, as it takes only the tiniest bit of research to realize something is going critically wrong in agricultural market.

Tuesday, August 03, 2010

False premise on which Arizonians base their blathering

In a recent email StratFor stated this:

The problem is that Mexicans are not seen in the traditional context of immigration to the United States. As I have said, some see them as extending their homeland into the United States, rather than as leaving their homeland and coming to the United States. Moreover, by treating illegal immigration as an acceptable mode of immigration, a sense of helplessness is created, a feeling that the prior order of society was being profoundly and illegally changed. And finally, when those who express these concerns are demonized, they become radicalized. The tension between Washington and Arizona — between those who benefit from the migration and those who don’t — and the tension between Mexican-Americans who are legal residents and citizens of the United States and support illegal immigration and non-Mexicans who oppose illegal immigration creates a potentially explosive situation.

Centuries ago, Scots moved to Northern Ireland after the English conquered it. The question of Northern Ireland, a borderland, was never quite settled. Similarly, Albanians moved to now-independent Kosovo, where tensions remain high. The world is filled with borderlands where political and cultural borders don’t coincide and where one group wants to change the political border that another group sees as sacred.

Migration to the United States is a normal process. Migration into the borderlands from Mexico is not. The land was seized from Mexico by force, territory now experiencing a massive national movement — legal and illegal — changing the cultural character of the region. It should come as no surprise that this is destabilizing the region, as instability naturally flows from such forces.
But these three excerpted paragraphs -- the first and third, particularly -- reveal a faulty assumption by author George Friedman.

After summarizing the history of the area in question Friedman says: "Migration to the United States is a normal process. Migration into the borderlands from Mexico is not."

The problem here is Friedman assumes that the area is a well-established, dominantly Anglo region now being invaded by migrating Hispanics. In fact, the area was a generally sparsely region populated by a more or less evenly culturally mixed grouop from about 1865 to the early 1950s. The mixed population got along amicably for the most part. Neither held an upper hand. Each needed the other for economic reasons. Consequently, there was considerable mixing of both through work and marriage.

What in fact destabilized the area was a huge influx of primarily Anglos beginning in the 1950s. First came the Anglo workers moving into the area for employment with the expanding military presence and bases. Then came the Anglo retirees seeking warm climes and lower-priced properties so they could cash in on their high-priced properties and settle down to a upper middle-class lifestyle. The retiree group ultimately came to dominate this "white folk' influx. Both the military-based and the retirees were US nationalist-oriented -- the retirees being the most so. The Anglo retirees then proceeded to only exacerbate the problem by seeking cheap Mexican labor for mowing their lawns (and other services) while disparaging the Mexicans for being poor and stupid for taking on that sort of labor.

There is another seldom mentioned factor. The Mexicans labor force was even more culturally different from the Anglos inasmuch as they were heavily Indian-based. They came from an entirely different historic cultural premise, different even from Hispanic.

Truth be told, the Spanish invaders centuries before had a similar problem with the native population, exploited them as more or less slave labor, while remaining apart from them culturally, keeping them racially separate so far as the upper class could manage.

The fairly balanced population of the 1865 through 1950-ish period muted the problem.

Mix the military and retirees "invading" the area with the increased arrival of Mexicans coming north to provide the cheap labor force being demanded by the "invaders."

Stir in a dedicated group of Republican politicos hoping to exploit the situation in order destabilize the nation for their own political purposes and there you have the ultimate source of the problem that we are now suffering through.

Besides, "they" were here before us and from "them" we have borrowed and adapted much of our western culture. Consider Linda Rondstadt. Long before there was the "Blue Bayou" there was "La Charreada," the rodeo.


Monday, August 02, 2010

Theater, sex and crime converge once again

The man who stole Shakespeare to fund a good time and a girl got eight years and a tongue-lashing from a judge for booklegging a priceless early edition of the Bard's works, the British press reported today.
An unemployed antiques dealer with a taste for the high life was jailed today for eight years after he was convicted of handling a stolen copy of a rare first collection of Shakespeare's plays.

Raymond Scott, 53, who drove a yellow Ferrari and posed as an international playboy despite having huge debts, walked into one of the world's leading Shakespeare research centres with the 17th century book.

Staff at the renowned Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington D.C. recognised the valuable book and called the police, the British Embassy and the FBI.

Regarded as one of the most important printed works in the English language, less than 250 copies of the collection survive.

They were first printed in 1623, seven years after Shakespeare's death.
Judge angered by crime against culture ... Read more »